Too early to write off Jacob Zuma, the chess master

Jacob Zuma is not finished yet, despite his expulsion, despite the election outcome, writes Zohra Teke.

Jacob Zuma is not finished yet, despite his expulsion, despite the election outcome, writes Zohra Teke.

Published Aug 7, 2024

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“When you bite indiscriminately you end up eating your own tail”, goes a wise Zulu saying.

Has Zuma bitten his own tail? Some people seem to think so. After all, he's been expelled from the ANC, lost out on governing with his breakaway MK party which has been relegated to the opposition benches in KZN despite an overwhelming provincial victory at the polls.

The tsunami of MK has settled, leaving in its aftermath a political destruction, and a GNU/GPU mopping up operation. But... is it a dead end for MK and Zuma? Can a party which emerged the third largest in the country less than six months after formation really haemorrhage as quickly as its success? I spoke to a number of MK supporters — ordinary people, youth, domestic workers, business owners, government officials, academics and many more. And the insight post elections was interesting and revealing.

For 28-year-old Sne, a restaurant worker in Durban, it’s the end of the road for voting.

"It was my first time voting and I'm disappointed for now. I feel I wasted my vote on MK. They should be in power, not just enjoy the benefit in Parliament," said the single mother.

That sense of despondency is a far cry from her sentiments before the elections when she was part of the MK fever sweeping KZN. The palpable energy, the excitement of umshini wami which turned the province into a green and black stronghold. Now Sne feels betrayed, her life back to the grind, her hopes for change crushed, unconvinced that a GNU is the answer. Or maybe it's too soon to tell. She needs time.

But for Nomsa, a 48-year-old senior government official and MK supporter, the party will make a comeback. These are growing pains, early development. Maybe she's taking her role in the health sector too seriously in comparing it to the MK start-up, but I get it.

"MK will be back, but we need to see stability. They still represent traditional Zulu values and is the only party true to these principles. They were not willing to be adopted by the DA and we are proud of that. These are formative years for them and they will experience all the developmental phases as they transition from baby to adulthood. And we will be here to support them through it," explains Nomsa.

It's a sentiment that's most expressed, and is an indication of the natural character of the Zulu people — prone to forgiveness, but never forgetting. Their bloody past, sacrifices and fight to retain the Zulu pride, identity and values can never be forgotten. And Zuma ensures that. It’s this sense of loyalty which also lends itself to forgiveness. Much like the forgiveness of the ANC over the years, despite its flaws and failures.

With parties in the GNU running a popularity contest, each trying to outsmart the other, it’s clear the goal is now on the 2026 local government elections. The key to making things happen at a local level and ensuring their party takes credit.

And according to MK insiders, the local elections is what the party aims to work on, without the baggage of the GNU. It’s going to be a tough comeback. Battered, bruised and for some, the MK is seen as having won the battle but lost the war.

But Zuma's comeback has always been greater than his setback. There's a sense for many in KwaZulu-Natal, even if not in the country, that loyalty to Zuma must continue. It’s a fascinating insight which challenges and rejects political thought and analysis. It goes against the tirade of Zuma the corrupt. His expulsion from the ANC may not be a further blow to him, but, instead, play well into his victimhood and strengthen, rather than weaken his popularity.

For MK to regain the lost confidence amongst many of its more than four million supporters, it will mean proving it can be trusted again with a vote. It will require internal stability, unity, a move away from the perception of MK being a family business. The hard fact is it cannot behave like the EFF in Parliament and expect to win support, or depend on Duduzile as the face of the party. Zuma is still the trump card of MK and nobody comes close in the party, despite all his flaws. His party won the majority with all that.

But his traditional values which endear him to the vast majority of MK supporters can be central to the party without being consumed by it.

"We are proud of the Zulu monarchy, we uphold the values but that doesn't make us a Zulu party; we want inclusivity," says MK senior leader Muzi Ntshingila.

Just how it renews itself over the next year ahead of the local elections will determine its longevity in politics and cement its role to come. That turnaround will be the biggest test of the party. And the internal squabbles of the GNU and GPU plays right into MK's gameplan. Its 45.9% of support in KwaZulu-Natal remains a powerful tool — if they play their cards well. Their loss in the recent by-elections is a reminder of the fragility of politics.

But Zuma is not finished yet, despite his expulsion, despite the election outcome. Zulus are forgiving. But they don't forget. That means it's not checkmate, not just yet. And Zuma is a master chess player. Time will tell if he still has what it takes to win the game.

* Zohra Teke is an independent contributor, journalist and commentator.

** The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of IOL or Independent Media.